Previsione della comunità attuale
No 88.5%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto30 apr 25, 17:32 UTC30 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?
Manifold MarketsDate of the next Canadian Federal Election
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsCA-28 House election: April Verlato vote percent
KalshiMD-06 House election: April McClain Delaney vote percent
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Canadian federal election is held on or before April 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Canada has recently conducted a federal election on April 28, 2025, resulting in the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, forming a minority government.
- (reuters.com) Under the Canada Elections Act, federal elections are scheduled every four years, with the next fixed date being October 15, 2029.
- However, the prime minister can request the governor general to dissolve Parliament, potentially leading to an earlier election.
