Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale20000-24999 22.9%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mag 26, 15:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
Manifold MarketsIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketCan the son do more push-ups than the father?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of the suspected case count at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).
- https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic
- If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.
- The "Other" category means any case counts larger than the current buckets.
- I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).
