LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 04:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30 50%
September 30 50%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 11:53 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? · June 30, 2027 38%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? · Before Jan 1, 2028 64%
