KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Oct 1, 2027 52.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Before Oct 1, 2027 52.5%Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,3K €
Open interest
81,5K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 40 minuti fa
30 giu 26, 15:17 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Oct 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
LimitlessWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.