KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jul 1, 2027 31%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
49 €
Liquidità
270,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
30 giu 26, 15:17 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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- Republican Party15.8%
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
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+35 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??
- Kalshi quota Before Jul 1, 2027 al 31% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Polymarket.