Probabilità implicita attuale
Other 50%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
21 gen 26, 18:141 gen 28, 4:59
Trend
Regole
the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round.
- If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Marine Le Pen 32% · 4 piattaforme · banda di 5 pt
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 26%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 32%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 37%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Marine Le Pen 44%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next French Presidential Election?
- Limitless quota Other al 50% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next French Presidential Election?
- Next French Presidential Election dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Next French Presidential Election?
- Limitless liquida questo mercato come segue: the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other. <p>The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- Dove altro è quotato Next French Presidential Election?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt.