Probabilità implicita attuale
Other 50%In testa tra 7 esiti
Other 50%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
21 gen 26, 18:14 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round.
- If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 45%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 48%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Marine Le Pen 59%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 41%
