KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Marine Le Pen 84%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
955,7 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
10 lug 26, 14:00 UTC17 apr 28, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Conseil constitutionnel
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
- If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No. If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per French presidential election: who will advance??
- Kalshi quota Marine Le Pen al 84% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve French presidential election: who will advance??
- French presidential election: who will advance? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 aprile 2028.
- Come viene liquidato French presidential election: who will advance??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.