KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Vance (99%)
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Vance 99%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
89K €
Liquidità
65,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto3 set 26, 18:3018 set 26, 14:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Vance56%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Supreme Court0%
Trump (5+ times)56%
Venezuela35%
ICE0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
USS Abraham Lincoln24%
Football57%
Epstein0%
Pentagon51%
Iran (3+ times)61%
China / Chinese1%
Tiger Woods34%
OpenAI / Astra0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regole
If any host or reporter says the named outcome as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
