KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 33% 99%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
7,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
27 ago 26, 18:38 UTC1 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is 33% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official government website of
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent?
- Kalshi quota At least 33% al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent?
- MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is 33% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.