KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoRegolato dal provider, mercato per mercato
Risolto: 30 set 2026, 18:38
Questo evento non ha un unico vincitore. Il provider ha regolato ogni mercato separatamente; ogni mercato mostra il proprio risultato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 set 2026, 18:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
At least 5%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 13%1%
At least 11%1%
At least 5%Persa
At least 7%Persa
At least 9%Persa
At least 11%Persa
At least 13%Persa
Mercati Correlati
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If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
