KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 2% 91%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
8 set 26, 23:00 UTC20 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share?
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PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by BSW in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share??
- Kalshi quota At least 2% al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share??
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by BSW in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.