KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 51% 88%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
920,4 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
11 set 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Scott in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Office of the Secretary of State, Montpelier, VT
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Phil Scott ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- The percentage is based on the popular vote, not any subsequent legislative vote.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 194,6 Mln €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume totale
- 28,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5K €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent?
- Kalshi quota At least 51% al 88% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent?
- Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Scott in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.