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Dati al 13 set 2026, 08:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 16% 0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
11 set 26, 20:00 UTC20 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
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Regole
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by Die Linke in the 2026 Berlin state election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Der Landeswahlleiter für Berlin
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share??
- Kalshi quota At least 16% al 0% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share??
- Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by Die Linke in the 2026 Berlin state election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.