KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
7 apr 26, 16:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
KalshiWill the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
LimitlessRegole
If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The GuardianFox Newsofficial social media accounts of Ye or their official representativesSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersofficial government sources of the UKThe New York Times
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 296,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 88,6K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1K €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year??
- Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.