KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.59% or above 99%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
86,5 €
Liquidità
777,9 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
4 set 26, 19:30 UTC11 set 26, 19:30 UTC
Trend
0%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 11, 2026, or one week following Sep 11, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 277,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,9K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-21.5pt55%
- 4.85%-25.0pt42%
- 4.88%-26.0pt31%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+2.5pt77%
- Below 4.73%+7.0pt68%
- Below 4.70%-3.0pt51%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHISOFR for September 8, 2026
- 3.66% or Above34.3%
- Exactly 3.64%25.3%
- Exactly 3.65%24.2%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.4pt8%
- 3.5%-2.3pt5%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.21% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 4.59% or above al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026??
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.