KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.55% or above 99%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,3K €
Liquidità
8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
18 set 26, 19:30 UTC21 set 26, 19:30 UTC
Trend
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketRegole
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 21, 2026, or one week following Sep 21, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.33% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
- 5.3% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 16,4K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.01% or above+7.0pt99%
- 5% or above+10.0pt99%
- 5.02% or above91%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10K €
KALSHI7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.75% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
- 4.73% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-3.1pt6%
- Below 4.73%-1.6pt5%
- Below 4.64%+0.1pt4%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.83% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.85% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9K €
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- SOFR for September 18, 2026
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 4.55% or above al 99% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026??
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.