KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 56%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
10,4K €
Liquidità
6,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
22 set 26, 20:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
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KalshiXi Jinping out before 2027?
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PolymarketRegole
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A qualifying mechanism must be a government-to-government arrangement for notifying the other government about relevant AI incidents; general AI dialogue, shared principles, safety cooperation, or a general hotline without the incident-notification function does not satisfy this topic.
- The mechanism must be expressly described in an official government announcement, agreement text, or qualifying Source Agency report as covering AI incidents with national-security implications.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.4pt100%
- October 31+0.1pt100%
- September 24+0.3pt100%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 280,2K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-19.0pt56%
- Peace47%
- Melania+12.0pt39%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 103,8K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 12,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 56K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.0pt91.9%
- Moonshot-0.8pt5%
- Z.ai1%
+8 altri esiti
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 37,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 31,2K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
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- 24°C-0.5pt20%
- 25°C-11.0pt12.4%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 56% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.