KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeGemini 2%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
12,9K €
Liquidità
13,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
13 lug 26, 16:0020 lug 26, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Gemini2%
Trend del volume
$14.7k13 lug2g di dati14 lug
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If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.