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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

One-OffTrade PolicyChinaEurope19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Between 10% and 19.99%
Between 10% and 19.99% 81%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,3 €

Liquidità

297,1 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

82.0% / 87.0%

Spread

6.1%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

4 feb 26, 15:001 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Between 50% and 60%
Between 50% and 60%
0%

Esito scelto

Between 10% and 19.99%81%

Regole

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,853.43+2.49%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.88%

Mercati Correlati

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

0 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 80%KalshiKALSHI
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Sì: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.67%XRPXRP$1.12+0.68%BNBBNB$596.70+1.82%CardanoADA$0.1655+3.23%HyperliquidHYPE$55.84+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.54%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.