Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitica2a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.9% / 9.9%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
18 lug 25, 14:00 UTC20 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Supreme Court
- The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review.
- For the avoidance of doubt: A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends??
- Kalshi quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends??
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.