Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitica Geopolitica Russia / Ukraine5m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before Jan 1, 2027 51%+1.0%

In testa tra 3 esiti

Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

63,5 €

Liquidità

2,6K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

46.0% / 51.0%

Spread

10.9%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 16 minuti fa

26 dic 25, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before Jan 1, 202751%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

$72

2 lug21g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

122,6K €

United Russia (ER): 56%

POLYMARKET

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13,9K €

Yulia Navalnaya: 11%

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

853,4 €

Sì: 74%

POLYMARKET

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

263,7 €

Sì: 3.4%

MYRIAD

First overseas visit of the next UK PM?

215,8 €

USA 🇺🇸: 5.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

183,2 €

Sì: 4.7%

MYRIAD

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,503.96+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.56+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.93+1.39%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.50%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.95%

BNBBNB$570.41+0.87%

Notizie Correlate

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News

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Polymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News

Regole

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitica Geopolitica Russia / Ukraine5m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before Jan 1, 2027 51%+1.0%

In testa tra 3 esiti

Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

63,5 €

Liquidità

2,6K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

46.0% / 51.0%

Spread

10.9%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 16 minuti fa

26 dic 25, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before Jan 1, 202751%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

$72

2 lug21g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

122,6K €

United Russia (ER): 56%

POLYMARKET

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13,9K €

Yulia Navalnaya: 11%

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

853,4 €

Sì: 74%

POLYMARKET

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

263,7 €

Sì: 3.4%

MYRIAD

First overseas visit of the next UK PM?

215,8 €

USA 🇺🇸: 5.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

183,2 €

Sì: 4.7%

MYRIAD

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,503.96+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.56+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.93+1.39%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.50%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.95%

BNBBNB$570.41+0.87%

Notizie Correlate

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News

Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News

Regole

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.