KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92%
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
75,2 €
Liquidità
3,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 10.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
21 gen 26, 18:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
If Blake Lively and Taylor Swift have been seen together in public starting 01/21/2026 at 1:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Taylor SwiftBlake LivelyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCSky NewsThe Guardian
- The person must be physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive, appearing conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated).
- Qualifying public settings include: public spaces accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants), ticketed public events (concerts, sports events, conferences), official public appearances (government events, ceremonies, press conferences), and semi-public venues where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations).
- The following do NOT qualify: pre-recorded or archival footage, private events closed to the general public, medical facilities or private residences, virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars), body doubles or impersonators, or posthumous footage.
- The sighting must be confirmed by Source Agencies including official government agencies, major news outlets, or the person's verified social media accounts.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
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+27 altri esiti
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+7 altri esiti
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+10 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
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- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year??
- Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Blake Lively and Taylor Swift have been seen together in public starting 01/21/2026 at 1:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.