KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Richard Neal, ≥5% 90.8%In testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
10,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
27 ago 26, 19:45 UTC1 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Richard Neal minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Richard Neal if Richard Neal wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Richard Neal loses.
- If Richard Neal wins, the margin will be positive; if Richard Neal loses, the margin will be negative; if Richard Neal ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Richard Neal runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)?
- Kalshi quota Richard Neal, ≥5% al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)?
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.