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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Barry Moore, ≥15%
Barry Moore, ≥15% 22%-8.0%
In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

221,2 €

Liquidità

250,7 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

8 giu 26, 17:0016 giu 27, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Barry Moore, ≥15%22%

Regole

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Mercati Correlati

Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

54,8 €
Rick Jackson, 9-12%: 3%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

51,2 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

39,2 €
Mike Collins, ≥25%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

25,8 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

21,3 €
Karen Bass, 12-16%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

11,5 €
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%: 95%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,474.07+0.07%EthereumETH$1,664.35-0.50%SolanaSOL$66.64-0.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0874+1.18%XRPXRP$1.13-0.39%BNBBNB$602.58-0.06%

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Regole

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.