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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

2.7% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione12m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Graham Platner, ≥50% 99%+2.7%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

172,9 €

Liquidità

1,2K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 99.3%

Spread

0.3%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

1 apr 26, 17:009 giu 27, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Graham Platner, 10-20%
Graham Platner, 10-20%
0%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
0%
Janet Mills wins
Janet Mills wins
0%

Esito scelto

Graham Platner, ≥50%99%

Regole

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Mercati Correlati

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Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

933 €
Karen Bass, 4-8%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

106,7 €
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

77,6 €
Josh Turek, 20-25%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

66,5 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,625.26+2.03%EthereumETH$1,649.28+1.20%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.44%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.53%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$594.67+1.42%

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Regole

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.