South Carolina Republican Governor primary runoff margin of victory?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione
KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneQuesto mercato si è risolto: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Risolto: 29 giu 2026, 20:56
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
99%
ConsensoProbabilità implicita attualeAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
188 €
Liquidità
774,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 giorni fa
Obsoleto16 giu 26, 17:1423 giu 27, 14:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.