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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?
New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

1.0% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneLatin America11m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Gregg Hull, 12-15%
Gregg Hull, 12-15% 3%+1.0%
In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

1,1 €

Liquidità

168,3 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

2 giu 26, 19:452 giu 27, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Gregg Hull, 12-15%3%

Regole

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Mercati Correlati

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Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

936,1 €
Karen Bass, 4-8%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

204,9 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

106,7 €
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

59,4 €
Josh Turek, 20-25%: 5%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

53,8 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,582.47+2.30%EthereumETH$1,651.29+1.71%SolanaSOL$65.06+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.57%XRPXRP$1.12+0.12%BNBBNB$594.21+1.55%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.