KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Before Jul 9, 2026
Risolto: 9 lug 2026, 01:01
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jul 9, 2026 100%+43.8ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,4 Mln €
Liquidità
3,4 Mln €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 54 giorni fa
Obsoleto6 lug 26, 19:129 lug 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Before Jul 14, 2026100%
Before Jul 10, 2026100%
Before Jul 11, 2026100%
Before Jul 9, 2026100%
Before Jul 13, 2026100%
Before Jul 12, 2026100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
Regole
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
