KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Lupita Nyong'o 74%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 21:53 UTC31 ago 29, 14:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Kalshi quota Lupita Nyong'o al 74% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Black Panther 3: Cast dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.