KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 80%
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 22:00 UTC1 ott 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Mercati aperti
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.