KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeDetroit 24.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
4,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
19.0% / 24.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
23 dic 25, 15:001 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Chicago19%
Trend del volume
$52 lug24g di dati27 lug
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If the National Guard is deployed to Chicago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Chicago on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Chicago, not merely assigned or in transit.
- The following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:
- - Governor activates Guard with deployment to Chicago - Guard units arrive in Chicago on emergency orders - Federal activation placing Guard in Chicago - Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Chicago - Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Chicago - Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed
- The following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:
- - Deployment announcements without actual arrival - Guard placed on standby/alert status only - Units staged outside Chicago without entering - Training exercises or routine drills - Guard members traveling through Chicago to another destination - Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment - Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians - Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders - Recruitment or community relations activities - Canceled deployments that never materialize