KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 91%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.0% / 8.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Country in what region will merge, split, or name change first?
Manifold MarketsSwitzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketSwitzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketWill Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
PolymarketWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Nauru Electoral Commission
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met.
- Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Kalshi quota No al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.