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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?
Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

YearlyPoliticaGeopolitica1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 72%
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

30,9 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 75.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

21 mag 26, 21:001 gen 28, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes72%

Regole

If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,937.16+2.67%SolanaSOL$65.54+3.14%EthereumETH$1,658.30+2.02%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.76%HyperliquidHYPE$55.80-0.24%XRPXRP$1.12+0.84%

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Regole

If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.