KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Yes, 3-6% 4%-5.3ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
56K €
Liquidità
25,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.2 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 108 giorni fa
Obsoleto16 mar 26, 21:0021 apr 27, 14:00
Trend
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Regole
If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment falls at least 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Yes minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Yes minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Yes wins, or the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Yes does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
