Wyoming Senate margin of victory
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hageman, 26+ pts 97%In testa tra 11 esiti
Hageman, 26+ pts 97%Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
3,1K €
Open interest medioSpread
6.1 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 01:03 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wyoming by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 25-30% 50%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 30-35% 19%
