Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20267g
LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Republican 40-45% 50.7%In testa tra 11 esiti
Republican 40-45% 50.7%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 11:07 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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Regole
Republican 40-45% · Republican 35-40% · Republican 45-50% · Republican 30-35% · Republican 25-30% · Republican 50%+ · Republican 20-25% · Republican 15-20% · Republican 10-15% · Republican 0-10% · the named outcome.
The 2026 Wyoming Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
- If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento tra piattaforme di CoinRithm per Republican 40-45% è del 20%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 31 punti percentuali. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm Republican 40-45% 20% · 2 piattaforme · 31 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 40-45% 19%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Wyoming Senate margin of victory · Hageman, 26+ pts 91%
