KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Republicans, 27+ pts 78.3%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
34,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:26 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
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Regole
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in West Virginia's 1st District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi quota Republicans, 27+ pts al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory?
- West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in West Virginia's 1st District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.