Minnesota Senate margin of victory
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Flanagan, 1+ pts · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Flanagan, 1+ pts 82.5%In testa tra 15 esiti
Flanagan, 1+ pts 82.5%Qualità del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,7K €
Open interest
105,4K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Flanagan, 1+ ptsSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 01:02 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Flanagan, 1+ pts
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Minnesota Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regole per ogni esito
- Flanagan, 1+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 2+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 3+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 4+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 6+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 8+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 9+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 11+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 15+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 17+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 19+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flanagan, 21+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory · Democrat 5-10% 31%
