New York's 2nd District margin of victory
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Garbarino, 1+ pts 75%In testa tra 8 esiti
Garbarino, 1+ pts 75%Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
49,7 €
Open interest
881,1 €
Open interest bassoSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:24 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
