KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Republicans, 14+ pts 79%+31.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3K €
Liquidità
3,7K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:243 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
0%
Regole
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
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+38 altri esiti
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- Jon Ossoff16.8%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi quota Republicans, 14+ pts al 79% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Missouri's 4th District margin of victory dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.