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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Democrats, 4+ pts
Democrats, 4+ pts 28%+1.0%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

1,8 €

Liquidità

11,1 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

23.0% / 28.0%

Spread

21.7%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

5 mag 26, 20:203 nov 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Democrats, 4+ pts28%

Regole

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Mercati Correlati

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

45,1 €
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 93%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

6,2 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Maine's 1st District margin of victory

3,6 €
Democrats, 17+ pts: 91%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

3,5 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 58%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 48%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,280.46+0.02%EthereumETH$1,681.90-0.19%SolanaSOL$68.52+0.13%DogecoinDOGE$0.0887-1.25%XRPXRP$1.16+0.46%BNBBNB$610.13-0.11%

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Regole

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.