KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Democrats, 1+ pts 39%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,9K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:203 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi quota Democrats, 1+ pts al 39% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Michigan's 4th District margin of victory dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.