KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Democrats, 39+ pts 99%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.6 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:21 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi quota Democrats, 39+ pts al 99% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory?
- Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.