KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 95.1%In testa tra 3 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
121,3 €
Liquidità
6,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
16 dic 25, 15:00 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsDune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
Polymarket"Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
FutuurWill Villeneuve's DUNE part 2 receive a higher IMDB rating than DUNE part 1 by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geographystreaming platform for media in geographyfilm studios responsible for the production of mediaNetflixSpotifyIMDbVarietyThe Hollywood ReporterDeadlineEntertainment Weeklythe Associated PressThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- When will Dune: Part Three be released? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.