KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeICE 81%+6.0ptIn testa tra 15 esiti
Qualita del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
23,2K €
Liquidità
49,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
13.0% / 17.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 18:3011 ago 26, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Ceasefire14%
Trend del volume
$26.3k20 lug8g di dati27 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
194,1K €Sì: 23%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
108,7K €December 31: 76%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
101,7K €August 31: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
2,8K €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?
2,3K €At least 8: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1K €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRegole
If Rachel Maddow says Corrupt / Corruption as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the next Rachel Maddow Show will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Rachel Maddow Show will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.