KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAt least 1 99%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,3K €
Liquidità
16,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
14 lug 26, 19:301 ago 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
At least 817%
Trend del volume
$2.6k2 lug21g di dati28 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
100,4K €August 31: 54%POLYMARKET
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How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
2,7K €$0 / No Acquisition: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1K €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any US state secede before 2050?
659,1 €Sì: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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If above 0 federal judges are confirmed in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The positions that are eligible for inclusion are:
- Supreme Court justices Court of Federal Claims judges U.S.
- Court of Appeals judges U.S.
- District Court (including territorial courts) judges
- Judges for the following courts are NOT included: