KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.4% / 3.0%
Spread
1.6 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
9 giu 25, 17:30 UTC4 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiCalifornia Governor winner?
KalshiRegole
If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Politics
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor??
- Kalshi quota No al 97% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor??
- Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.