Probabilità implicita attuale
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%In testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
6,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 00:32 UTC22 dic 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Kalshi quota Giorgia Meloni al 44% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.