KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Feb 3, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Feb 3, 2027 75%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Feb 3, 2027 75%Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
241,4 €
Open interest
1,2K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Feb 3, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 19:00 UTC3 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Feb 3, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketKnesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026
FutuurNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Defense?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
PolymarketRegole
If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Knesset
- The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include: Parliamentary approval with binding effect A formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority An official statement by an authorized minister An official government press release A formal declaration during official government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Feb 3, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 20, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 23, 2026
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.