KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 76%
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
25.0% / 36.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
13 set 26, 20:00 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
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- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
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- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
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- Volume 24h
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- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 altri esiti
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum??
- Kalshi quota No al 76% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum??
- Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.