KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Category 2 or above 99%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
51,6 €
Liquidità
2,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 18:30 UTC2 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
- If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Hurricane Marie category??
- Kalshi quota Category 2 or above al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Hurricane Marie category??
- Hurricane Marie category? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Hurricane Marie category??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.