KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Category 4 or above 5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
27 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
67,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 17:00 UTC2 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Regole
If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
- If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Hurricane Sally category??
- Kalshi quota Category 4 or above al 5% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Hurricane Sally category??
- Hurricane Sally category? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Hurricane Sally category??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Sally reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.