KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Rhett Marques 70.7%+1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3,6K €
Liquidità
79,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
28.0% / 29.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
7 gen 26, 01:04 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the House member sworn in for AL-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AL-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 598,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 425,6K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AL-02 House winner??
- Kalshi quota Rhett Marques al 71% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AL-02 House winner??
- AL-02 House winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato AL-02 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the House member sworn in for AL-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.